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NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES REGULATE EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans): Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006. Incorporated also is color coding for the Wobble X MAX (largest spiral in the Wobble every seven years as measured on its X Axis), the Wobble X MIN (smallest spiral in the Wobble every seven years) and the years of the El Nino. The correlation in this stunning chart is much clearer than before, during the past 106 years, with only two exceptions, an El Nino does not occur during either an X MAX or an X MIN phase. It typically occurs on the transitions between the two phases. On the basis of the correlations, I am predicting that the DOA El Nino of 2006/07 was not a peak of El Nino oscillation year. Because the wobble is now leaving its MIN PHASE, or did so in the main during 2006, I predict that a much stronger El Nino will occur in 2007/08. Or if not, it will occur 2008 and quickly abort in 2009, but almost certainly it will not appear in the next X MAX, which is due 2009/2010. After the current wobble cycle matures during the next six months, I will tighten this prediction.
Temperatures shown in degrees Celsius, bottom
scale shows seasonal “variance” by the amount in Celsius. NOAA
EXPLANATION: Weekly averaged sea
surface temperatures (top, °C) and anomalies (bottom, °C) for the past twelve
weeks. SST analysis is the optimum interpolation (OI) analysis, while
anomalies are departures from the adjusted OI climatology (Reynolds and Smith
1995, J. Climate, 8,
1571-1583). MWM: Otherwise stated, the top graph represents
a statistical profile of what probably should be seen while the bottom graph
shows the relative amount of variation.
HOW THE AIR CIRCULATION WORKS OVER NORTH AMERICA DURING EXTREME YEARS OF EL NINO AND LA NINA: In the chart below, the indicated air flows persist for much of the year, not just the Winter months. The main change during the year is that the patterns migrates towards the North with the season changes. The bottom pix neatly describes our weather this past three months of early 2007. This pattern could continue to dominate next Fall and into the Winter of 2008/
Image source: NOAA, Home Page For El Nino La Nina
LINKS TO BACKGROUND INFORMATION ON EL NINO LA NINA: START HERE FOR ALL THINGS PACIFIC CLIMATE AND GLOBAL WARMING An excellent orientation for kids of all ages: http://library.thinkquest.org/20901/overview_1.htm Covers in simple English how scientists are attempting to analyze El Nino, model it into a climate theory, and from that make predictions. After reading this meta overview, it is easy to immediately spot the two main conceptual blind spots of the weathermen. The first is that they are completely unfamiliar with the fact that the Earth is spinning to the East, bunching up the crust and fluids of the Earth against the eastern “windward” edges of the continents. Thus they mistake why the water and atmospheric circulation works as it does. They “see” it as “pressure differentials” created by the “equatorial climate”. These pressures are likely secondary effects produced indirectly by the rotating mass(es) of the Earth, not primary causes. The second mistake is that their model simply lacks an elementary driver to make it work. Energy must come into the system to produce El Nino. To attribute such a source, they mystically bow and scrape to Ozian “feedbacks” just behind the veils of perception. They are totally oblivious to the driver - the “bunsen burner” at the bottom of the ocean. The La Nina Home Page - What Is La Nina – A NOAA compendium of web pages on La Nina & El Nino http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/lanina.html
Current But Static SST Charts & Predictions:
National Weather Service -Climate Prediction Center
PRIMARY DATA SERIES USED BY MWM IN VORTEX CHARTS & DISCUSSIONS:
Comparison Charts Of Two Most Powerful La Nina's How they come on, develop, and disappear. THIS BELOW IS A VALUABLE RESOURCE AND I WILL BE WORKING THESE GRAPHS INTO THE EC BULLETINS SOMEHOW.
Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North
America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s
Almanac A PP Frame: Most statistical and coupled model forecasts indicate SST anomalies will decrease during the next 2-3 months, with ENSO-neutral conditions lasting through the northern Spring (March-May 2007). Following PP Frame: The CFS ensemble mean (heavy blue line) indicates a rapid transition from neutral to La Niņa conditions during the next 2-3 months. Say what? Say what a forecast. All things for all folks. The real news: LA NINA is already here affecting the weather and this pattern will increase through to the Summer THE BING0! Frequency Chart Of Top Ten Most Extreme El Nino Events: This is an amazing chart for Phoenix readers!!!! It blows me away. I just discovered it after weeks of browsing through the Iway underbellies of NOAA and NASA and the like. It sustains and proves through its very close parallelism the claim that the Earth Changes are new (for this millennium), that they began in the 1930's, as suggested by Cayce, and commenced the noticeable trend line of change in 1958, as suggested by Cayce and as proven by trend lines of ocean warming, earthquake activity, volcanism, and drift in the wobble. The El Nino Bingo Chart: Frequency Of Extreme Events Began Accelerating In 1960 
By the unsung
gnomes of NOAA Subscribers with access to the Nine Trends Chart will notice that the parallelism between the curves in this chart match the curves of geophysical trends in the Nine Trends chart, esp. the OCEAN WARMING curve and world volcanism. Play it again one more time, Sam, I need a good belly-aching laugh: CARBON DIOXIDE causes Global Warming. HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA
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