EARTHQUAKE TRENDS & THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH

Links to:  EC BULLETIN  |  QUAKE GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

[10-9-2007] I downloaded the ANSS catalog and updated my World 4+ Quake Model and charts off line.  I was correct below in assuming that the average quake count would climb during 2007 to near 40.  The average as of October 1 is a little higher than shown in this chart below.  I will finally update this posting and the chart below in about February 2008.

[9-17-2007]  This chart was cut off at May 20, 2007.  I think the daily average for 2007 has increased since then, partly as a result of all the activity in the Western Pacific. So I suspect that the drop in the trend shown in the chart will be overcome by a higher average.

This first chart was developed for the Return of the Phoenix, Book Three.  The chart demonstrates that the Change In the Earth has accelerated about threefold since 1973.  This is a well qualified and objectively real trend.  The daily average frequency for 2007 is now running at about 35 per day for quakes 4+.  Since the online quake catalogs seldom show even half that many for each of the preceding seven days, it is also perfectly obvious that the online catalogs DO NOT PROVIDE ON THE FLY AN OBJECTIVE VIEW OF THE BEHAVIOR OF THE WHOLE EARTH.  It takes the catalog builders about 60 days to finalize the latest entries.  In other words, they are are bout two months behind.  What we get from the online services in the "current term" is a source of bulletins which provide information on the largest quakes or those closest to civilized areas.

Here is the signal which reveals the driving "wedge" where the "shaping of the Earth" begins to produce the "Change in the Earth".  Here is a roughly threefold acceleration in tectonic motion in the course of 23 years, mainly in the Great Rift which runs through the North Atlantic.  The greatest push is against Eurasia, which is subducting Japan and the Western Pacific at an accelerating pace.  Thus both zones now have geometric growth rates which will double their average seismic activity during the next 15 years while the North Atlantic continues to warm itself and the Arctic to produce a growing acceleration of Global Warming.  OBSERVE THE CLEAR RELATIONSHIP IN FREQUENCY AND PHASING WITH THE SIZE OF EARTH'S WOBBLE (TERMED HEREIN THE X MAX) AS MEASURED EACH YEAR ON THE X AXIS (very nearly the Greenwich Meridian).  Pss.  Pass this along.  I do not think anyone in the earth sciences other than you or I are aware of this fundamental geophysical dynamic.